Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.002867 0.002999 0.003133 0.003280 0.003436 0.003598 0.003778
2025-03-02 0.002661 0.002861 0.003073 0.003313 0.003580 0.003869 0.004204
2025-03-09 0.002503 0.002741 0.003000 0.003301 0.003647 0.004030 0.004492
2025-03-16 0.002375 0.002639 0.002931 0.003280 0.003688 0.004153 0.004729
2025-03-23 0.002255 0.002535 0.002850 0.003233 0.003691 0.004223 0.004898
2025-03-30 0.002155 0.002447 0.002781 0.003194 0.003695 0.004290 0.005060
2025-04-06 0.002089 0.002395 0.002750 0.003195 0.003744 0.004408 0.005286
2025-04-13 0.001977 0.002284 0.002642 0.003097 0.003666 0.004363 0.005301
2025-04-20 0.001927 0.002244 0.002619 0.003100 0.003711 0.004473 0.005515
2025-04-27 0.001902 0.002233 0.002629 0.003144 0.003807 0.004648 0.005822
2025-05-04 0.001844 0.002179 0.002583 0.003114 0.003807 0.004697 0.005959
2025-05-11 0.001796 0.002135 0.002548 0.003096 0.003820 0.004762 0.006121
2025-05-18 0.001745 0.002087 0.002507 0.003070 0.003821 0.004813 0.006265
2025-05-25 0.001722 0.002074 0.002510 0.003101 0.003900 0.004970 0.006567
2025-06-01 0.001683 0.002039 0.002482 0.003090 0.003921 0.005048 0.006757
2025-06-08 0.001643 0.002000 0.002450 0.003070 0.003928 0.005106 0.006919
2025-06-15 0.001595 0.001951 0.002401 0.003028 0.003901 0.005114 0.007005
2025-06-22 0.001553 0.001907 0.002359 0.002992 0.003882 0.005131 0.007105
2025-06-29 0.001527 0.001885 0.002344 0.002993 0.003914 0.005224 0.007323
2025-07-06 0.001467 0.001816 0.002265 0.002903 0.003814 0.005118 0.007226
2025-07-13 0.001445 0.001797 0.002253 0.002906 0.003848 0.005210 0.007446
2025-07-20 0.001438 0.001798 0.002268 0.002946 0.003935 0.005386 0.007808
2025-07-27 0.001407 0.001765 0.002235 0.002919 0.003923 0.005410 0.007921